China’s
rise as a major economic power has significantly reshaped its relations with
the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), with economic statecraft
emerging as a central instrument of influence. This study examines how China
employs economic incentives and coercive measures to shape the foreign policy
behavior of ASEAN member states and assesses the implications for regional
autonomy and stability. Economic statecraft in China–ASEAN relations operates
through a dual-track approach: the provision of inducements such as trade
access, foreign direct investment, infrastructure financing under the Belt and
Road Initiative (BRI), and development assistance, alongside coercive tools
including trade restrictions, tourism bans, investment slowdowns, and informal
sanctions.
The
paper argues that while economic engagement has contributed to ASEAN’s growth
and regional connectivity, it has also generated asymmetric dependencies that
expose smaller economies to coercive pressure. Case studies of the Philippines,
Vietnam, and Cambodia illustrate varying national responses shaped by domestic
political structures, economic vulnerability, and strategic priorities. Some
states have resisted coercion by diversifying partnerships and leveraging
international law, while others have accommodated Chinese preferences in
exchange for economic benefits.
At
the regional level, ASEAN’s consensus-based decision-making and commitment to
non-interference have constrained collective responses to economic coercion,
undermining ASEAN unity on sensitive issues such as the South China Sea. The
analysis further situates China’s economic statecraft within broader US–China
strategic competition, highlighting how Southeast Asian states pursue hedging
strategies to balance economic reliance on China with security ties to other
major powers.
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